Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn Michigan. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng
Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn Michigan. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng

Thứ Sáu, 24 tháng 2, 2012

The Caucus: Obama Goes After Republicans in New Michigan Ad

Tracking and analyzing campaign advertising.

DETROIT — President Obama is highlighting his support for the federal assistance plan that helped rescue Detroit automakers in a new television commercial that accuses Republican presidential candidates of abandoning the industry in its darkest hour.

The 30-second commercial, called “Made in America,” also mentions Mitt Romney’s now well-known opinion article that carried the headline “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt.”

Over images of factory employees hard at work and smiling families, an announcer says, “when a million jobs were on the line, every Republican candidate turned their back, even said, ‘Let Detroit go Bankrupt.’”

Then the commercial pivots to the president. “Not him,” says the announcer as a sound bite of the president plays. “Don’t bet against the American auto industry,” Mr. Obama is shown saying.

The ad is certain to draw even more of a focus on the sensitive and complex politics of the auto industry bailout, which all the Republican candidates have said they opposed. Mr. Obama and Democrats have sought to draw attention to that opposition now that Detroit car makers are adding jobs and the economy in Michigan is showing signs of progress.

In a Detroit Free Press poll released today, there were signs that Mr. Romney’s opposition to the bailout were complicating his prospects here in his home state. Asked what they disliked most about Mr. Romney, 12 percent of likely Republican primary voters cited his opposition to the rescue plan.


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Thứ Năm, 23 tháng 2, 2012

Romney Faces Unexpected Challenge From Santorum in Michigan

Mitt Romney and an aide, Garrett Jackson, in Michigan on a bus, where a banner from a previous Romney campaign hangs.

NOVI, Mich. — This was supposed to be a state, at last, where Mitt Romney could coast. After all, he grew up here. His father, an automobile executive, had been the governor. And the last time there was a Republican presidential primary in Michigan, Mr. Romney won handily.

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Yet, with less than a week until Michigan Republicans vote and with polling suggesting that Rick Santorum is mounting a serious challenge, Mr. Romney finds himself urgently pouring resources into his home state — unveiling gauzy television ads aimed at reminding residents of his family roots and rolling out endorsements from a virtual who’s who in Lansing: the governor, a former Senate majority leader, the attorney general, a former attorney general, and on and on.

While Mr. Romney’s comments against the federal bailout of the auto industry have drawn particular attention in Michigan, his troubles among Republican voters here appear to have less to do with his views on the bailout — which plenty of them say they were not keen on either — than with a shifting political landscape in a changing state and a fading, and in some cases tattered, emotional bond to the Romney name.

“Sure, I’d love to be able to say that our president is from Michigan, but that’s not all that matters to me,” said Cindy Minier, a Republican Party chairwoman from Presque Isle County, who said she was leaning toward Newt Gingrich or, given a second choice, Mr. Santorum. “When it comes right down to it, I just don’t feel that Romney is a real conservative — not a real, true one.”

It is hard to remember that in 2008, Michigan voters perceived Mr. Romney as the more conservative Republican beside Senator John McCain of Arizona, who ultimately won the nomination. This time, of course, others are claiming that mantle. Meanwhile, Michigan is changing too, with its long-struggling economy in the uncertain midst of transition, the emergence of Tea Party groups and conservatives who helped Republicans win a wave of elections in 2010, and an ever-growing generational split between those for whom 1950s- and 1960s-era images of Mitt Romney with his father still stir nostalgia and younger people with blurry memories of Gov. George W. Romney, or none at all.

“It’s a joke,” Randy Bishop, 54 and a Tea Party organizer, said of Mr. Romney’s emphasis on his connections to Michigan. “He left after high school, became the governor of Massachusetts and never looked back.”

Mr. Bishop criticized Mr. Romney for the health care insurance law he supported in Massachusetts, portrayed him as a “moderate in lockstep with the establishment folks” and described Michigan’s economy as a far cry from the manufacturing capital over which Mr. Romney’s father presided. Mr. Bishop said he would vote for Mr. Santorum.

In a way, much of Michigan is only beginning to meet Mr. Santorum, the former senator from Pennsylvania. Even some supporters here acknowledged that they had not given particular attention to him until this month, when he won a series of races elsewhere. Michigan’s influential Right to Life political action committee said it would not endorse any one Republican over the others; all oppose abortion, it says. But Mr. Santorum drew praise from voters who said their evangelical Christian or Roman Catholic faith drove their political outlook, particularly from voters in the state’s western section and rural northern stretches.

Plenty of Republicans — even some of Mr. Santorum’s supporters — said they believed that Mr. Romney would ultimately win here, given a flood of advertisements and support from influential Republican leaders. Mr. Romney certainly has a base of loyal supporters, some of whom seemed to view the outcome of Michigan’s primary as carrying a special, personal weight, and the notion that Mr. Romney might actually be in trouble here as reason to redouble their efforts now.

“His family made a substantial effect on our state, and you just can’t take that away from him,” said Al Heilman, 76, who said he still had a photograph socked away somewhere of himself meeting Mr. Romney’s father decades ago.

Mr. Heilman, a Republican chairman from Kalamazoo County in the southwestern part of the state, said some people seem to want to penalize Mr. Romney for his business experience. “I don’t understand people who kick people in the shins because they’ve been successful — profits make the world go around,” Mr. Heilman, who retired after running a confections and nuts business, said. “Look, we’re on a dive, and this is the time for a true businessman like Mitt Romney who can turn around the country.”


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Republican Candidates Battle as Arizona and Michigan Races Tighten

In the brilliant sunshine of Arizona, Rick Santorum aggressively challenged Mitt Romney in a state where the Tea Party is strong and the politics of immigration are poised to take center stage at a debate on Wednesday night.

Ken Elzerman removed signs for Rick Santorum before Santorum's opponent, Mitt Romney, spoke at a factory in Shelby, Mich., on Tuesday.

When: Wednesday at 8 p.m. Eastern time

Where: Mesa Arts Center in Arizona

Participants: Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum

Sponsors: CNN and the Republican Party of Arizona

TV: CNN

Live blogging and analysis: nytimes.com/politics

The Election 2012 iPhone AppA one-stop destination for the latest political news — from The Times and other top sources. Plus opinion, polls, campaign data and video.

Dennis Lennox carried Mitt Romney signs before a Romney appearance at a factory in Shelby, Mich., on Tuesday.

And in the gritty cold of Michigan, the advertising air war intensified, as Mr. Romney increasingly faced questions about his conservative credentials from voters in his home state, a place of grim economic news and plenty of cultural conservatives.

Together, the two states — separated by about 1,700 miles — are the immediate battlegrounds for a Republican presidential contest that appears to be tightening drastically in the week before voters go to the polls to award the biggest single-day cache of delegates since the race began.

Mr. Santorum held two events in Arizona on Tuesday as he sought to seize on anecdotal and polling evidence that Mr. Romney’s large lead in the state may be quickly evaporating.

Speaking to about 500 people at the Maricopa County Lincoln Day luncheon, Mr. Santorum tipped his hat to the Tea Party movement, many of whose members had packed into the large Shriners’ hall to hear him speak.

“We need to take everything from food stamps to Medicaid to housing programs to education training programs,” he said. “We need to cut ’em, cap ’em, freeze ’em, send ’em to the states and say that there has to be a time limit and a work requirement,” he said, the rest of his words drowned out by thunderous applause.

Mr. Santorum is scheduled to address Tea Party activists near Tucson on Wednesday.

Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona, who plans to make an endorsement in the race after the debate, said in an interview that Mr. Santorum was eroding Mr. Romney’s advantage because “he comes across as straightforward, honest and solid.” She said she believes that Mr. Romney is conservative, but that many voters do not.

Mr. Romney has been building an organization in Arizona for months, aided by an endorsement from Senator John McCain, the state’s senior Republican. But on the eve of the nationally televised debate, one of Mr. Romney’s top supporters in the state expressed concern about his chances of winning. Randy Pullen, a former chairman of the Arizona Republican Party who endorsed Mr. Romney last year, said Tuesday that he was no longer certain that Mr. Romney would win the state’s primary. He said he believed Mr. Romney’s 20-point lead had evaporated, declaring, “Now it’s a dead heat.”

Mr. Pullen said Mr. Romney’s campaign had been unsuccessful — and, in his view, had not tried hard enough — in its effort to connect with Republican activists willing to unite around beating President Obama.

“There has to be some enthusiasm in the race,” Mr. Pullen said in an interview. “Right now there’s not much. I don’t regret my decision, I’m just frustrated. I think he’s honest and straightforward, but the real Romney needs to come out. We need to see the energy, and we need to see the passion we’ve seen from the other candidates.”

In Michigan, Mr. Romney held a town-hall meeting in Shelby to talk about the difficult economy in the state and his plans to help turn around the nation’s fiscal situation. Mr. Romney hinted Tuesday that he would soon unveil a new tax plan that would feature “a flatter, fairer, broader-based tax system.”

But voters at the town hall peppered him with questions about social issues instead, forcing him off message.

It was a vivid reminder of how much the Republican primaries next week may turn on terrain that has repeatedly frustrated Mr. Romney’s political ambitions this year: questions about his commitment to the conservative cause.

“I want to hear you say it,” said Feleiteau Epley, 58, to Mr. Romney at the Shelby Town Hall. “That you are 100 percent pro-life. No abortions.”

Mr. Romney did not oblige. Instead, he described himself as “pro-life” — making room for exceptions in the case of incest, rape and when the life of the mother is at stake — a position that left Ms. Epley, who is considering voting for Mr. Santorum, unsatisfied.

The latest Michigan polls generally show a tight race between the two candidates after a surge in support for Mr. Santorum. A Detroit News survey last week showed the race effectively tied.

Michael D. Shear reported from Washington, and Jeff Zeleny from Phoenix. Reporting was contributed by Michael Barbaro from Shelby, Mich., Katharine Q. Seelye from Phoenix, and Dalia Sussman and Allison Kopicki from New York.


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Thứ Sáu, 17 tháng 2, 2012

Romney Losing Some Michigan Support to Santorum

Returning to the state for a business roundtable and a rally Wednesday evening for the first time since November, Mr. Romney, who grew up the son of an auto executive turned governor of Michigan, landed here to find a tightening race in his home state, where Rick Santorum is leading in many polls less than two weeks from the primary.

In a race that has been defined by fits of momentum from the various candidates, Michigan now represents a critical proving ground for the remaining Republicans, but particularly for Mr. Romney.

Mr. Romney’s father, George Romney, is still fondly remembered here from his time as governor, and Mr. Romney won the state by nine percentage points in 2008. His aides liked to crow that he “found his voice” here four years ago. A loss could prove devastating at worst, and embarrassing at the very least.

And Mr. Santorum, who is still riding a wave of momentum from his triple victories in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri last week, starts campaigning in Michigan on Thursday to persuade reluctant Republican voters that he has what it takes to beat Mr. Romney — as well as President Obama in November.

There are few reliable polls in the state, but strategists for both campaigns say the race will be intensely competitive despite Mr. Romney’s Michigan ties. His campaign released a list on Wednesday of 129 local officials in Michigan who had endorsed Mr. Romney, which aides said was part of a strategy to showcase the breadth and depth of his support across the state. The governor, Rick Snyder, plans to endorse Mr. Romney at an event on Thursday.

“When you come out of Michigan, a Rust Belt state, you have a lot of momentum going into Super Tuesday,” said Robert Schostak, the chairman of the Michigan Republican Party.

“Social conservatives might relate strongly to Rick Santorum,” he said. “Newt Gingrich relates well across the state. Ron Paul has his pockets. And Mitt Romney has considerable name recognition here.”

Despite Mr. Romney’s deep advantages in the state, the forces that have reshaped the Republican Party across the country are also alive in Michigan. The state is not only drastically different from the place his father led as a three-term governor a half-century ago, but it has even changed significantly from five years ago this week, when Mr. Romney announced his first presidential bid at the Henry Ford Museum in Dearborn.

The populist sentiment that has propelled the Tea Party movement nationally is also coursing through Michigan politics. Mr. Santorum, who is heavily promoting his working-class background, is hoping to tap into those well-organized activists, along with a heavily Catholic and evangelical population in the Republican electorate. That combination could help him overcome the reservoir of good will for Mr. Romney.

The strength of the Tea Party movement, which demonstrated its clout during the 2010 midterm elections, will be tested in the Feb. 28 primary. Mr. Santorum’s conservatism and working-class roots are a natural fit for Tea Party activists, but Mr. Romney is not ceding this ground.

“I think Romney is facing an uphill battle with Tea Party groups,” said Wendy Day, the president of Common Sense in Government, a statewide Tea Party organization with a 2,500-member e-mail list. “The challenge I have with Romney is that his unrepentant attitude toward the health care issue is very difficult to swallow.”

And Jeff McQueen of Rochester, who is involved with several Tea Party groups throughout the state, said that even though Tea Partiers were generally “excited to see Romney moving out of the lead poll position,” that would not necessarily translate into huge support for Mr. Santorum.

“Santorum is getting a lot of support because he’s not Romney,” Mr. McQueen said.

Mr. Romney’s decision to open his fight for Michigan here in a suburb of Grand Rapids on Wednesday night underscores the campaign’s concern about Mr. Santorum’s potential strength in the western side of the state, where social conservatives dominate the party. A strength for Mr. Romney rests in Detroit and its suburbs, but the state’s 30 delegates also are awarded by Congressional district, which makes all regions important. At a rally Wednesday, he played up his local roots.

“I visited every county in Michigan, I think more than once, on my dad’s campaign, and my mom’s campaign,” he told the crowd. “I love Michigan.”

And highlighting the importance of the state, the advertising wars have already begun here, with a pro-Romney “super PAC” going up with $460,000 campaign criticizing Mr. Santorum as a “Washington insider.” Mr. Santorum responded with a humorous commercial that features Mr. Romney as a Rambo-style action hero splattering his opponent with mud.

Mr. Romney’s advisers said they planned to paint Mr. Santorum as a big-government earmarker and fiscally irresponsible politician, while reminding Michigan voters of Mr. Romney’s roots in the state, something they did with a biographical advertisement in which Mr. Romney reminisces about Detroit.

Yet perhaps because of his deep roots here, a Romney loss in Michigan could be particularly tough to recover from.

“If he loses in his own home state, it sends a message that people recognize that a politician from Massachusetts is not the conservative leader that the party needs,” said Alice Stewart, Mr. Santorum’s national press secretary.

Jeff Zeleny contributed reporting from Washington.


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The Caucus: Michigan Governor Endorses Romney, Calling Him a 'Native Son'

Gov. Rick Snyder of Michigan and Mitt Romney attending a lunch at the Farmington Hills Manor in Farmington Hills, Mich. Gov. Snyder endorsed Mr. Romney, citing his private sector experience.Josh Haner/The New York TimesGov. Rick Snyder of Michigan and Mitt Romney attending a lunch at the Farmington Hills Manor. Mr. Snyder endorsed Mr. Romney, citing his private sector experience.

FARMINGTON HILLS, Mich. — Mitt Romney came here Thursday afternoon to pick up the endorsement of Gov. Rick Snyder, playing up his hometown roots and playing up the state of the Detroit auto industry, which has revived following a government bailout.

“I love the auto industry. I want to see it thrive and grow,” Mr. Romney told the friendly crowd, which included his brother and one of his sisters. “I’m glad it went through a managed bankruptcy process, which I recommended from the very beginning to shed unnecessary costs and get its footing again. I’m delighted it’s profitable.”

He added, “In my view, this auto industry can continue to lead the world and must continue to lead the world to keep Detroit with a vibrant and prosperous future.”

Mr. Romney made his comments on the same day that General Motors reported a quarterly profit of $472 million, meaning that the company’s hourly workers in the United States will receive record profit-sharing checks next month of up to $7,000.

“In my view, this auto industry can continue to lead the world and must continue to lead the world to keep Detroit with a vibrant and prosperous future,” said Mr. Romney, who did not mention the Big Three automaker by name.

Mr. Snyder’s endorsement comes as Mr. Romney is battling a challenge from Rick Santorum, who is leading in many polls in Mr. Romney’s home state, where his father, George Romney, served as governor for three terms.

It is unclear how much the support of Mr. Snyder, a political novice himself who was just elected in 2010, will help Mr. Romney here. Mr. Snyder’s job approval ratings have been low, but climbing.

In his endorsement, Mr. Snyder played up Mr. Romney’s business experience.

“He has a great combination of private sector experience,” Mr. Snyder said, “of knowing what it takes to create a job, and how difficult that is, how to succeed in the private sector. He also brings that experience of being the chief executive of a state, of understanding what it is to be in the public sector, and to be successful in running a state. That’s the experience we need in Washington.”

The “icing on the cake,” Mr. Snyder added, is that Mr. Romney is a native son.

“We have the right man here to help lead our country, but there’s a special bonus,” Mr. Snyder said. “He was born and raised a Michigander, he understands our state, he’s one of us. And that’s another area of particular pride. “

When it was his turn, Mr. Romney also played up his local roots, offering “a little history.”

“I was born and raised here,” he said. “I love this state. It seems right here. The trees are the right height. I like seeing the lakes. I love the lakes. There’s something very special here.” (In terms of the lakes he so loves, Mr. Romney clarified: “The Great Lakes, but also all the little inland lakes that dot the parts of Michigan.”)

Mr. Romney, the son of an auto executive turned governor, continued naming the things that he loves, including cars.

“I grew up totally in love with cars,” he said. “It used to be in the 50s and 60s, if you showed me one square foot of almost any part of a car I could tell you what brand it was, the model and so forth. Now with all the Japanese cars I’m not so good at it, but I still know the American cars pretty well.”

Mr. Romney told the crowd that he drives a Mustang.

“I love American cars, and long may they rule the world,” he said. “Let me tell you, I want them to do well.”


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Thứ Tư, 15 tháng 2, 2012

In Michigan Race, Santorum Shifts to Talk of Jobs

He heads into Michigan, which votes on Feb. 28, with solid support among conservative voters. Two new polls, by Pew and Gallup, released on Monday showed that Mr. Santorum had pulled even nationwide with Mitt Romney, who leads in the fight for delegates and who, as recently as a month ago, was leading Mr. Santorum by a margin of two to one in both those polls.

Mr. Santorum, a former senator from Pennsylvania, has been buoyed by strong backing from evangelical voters and Tea Party members, the Pew poll said. They came out heavily for him last week in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri, giving him important victories that put the wind at his back.

But as he finds himself on the defensive over his positions on social issues, including a book in which he blames “radical feminists” for scorning stay-at-home mothers, he faces a challenge in shifting from the culture wars, which have galvanized his base, to the economic front in an attempt to expand his base.

On Thursday, Mr. Santorum is scheduled to address the Detroit Economic Club, and aides said he would weave together his proposals and present them for the first time as a single, broad blueprint for promoting growth and bringing back jobs.

The goal is to compete with Mr. Romney on the issue that Michigan voters, and others, say matters to them the most. Mr. Romney, a former governor of Massachusetts and a private equity executive at Bain Capital, has based his campaign on his economic know-how and business acumen.

“The economy and jobs and unemployment are all that anybody talks about in Michigan, and Santorum needs to talk about them, too,” said Bill Ballenger, editor of a political newsletter called Inside Michigan Politics.

Mr. Santorum has been able to advance this far in part because of voter dissatisfaction with other candidates but also because the other candidates have not attacked him with the full force of their resources.

That is starting to change, and the media, too, is examining him with more scrutiny as he moves to the head of the pack. On Sunday, for example, he faced questions about statements in a book he wrote in 2005 saying that “radical feminists” had devalued women who chose motherhood over going into the work force. He also had to clarify remarks he made Thursday about his opposition to women serving in combat.

As he campaigned in previous states, Mr. Santorum addressed various aspects of the economy. But his overriding message has been that the nation cannot have a strong economy without strong families, and he has focused on the social and cultural challenges that families face. For example, Mr. Santorum, a father of seven, has proposed tripling the income tax deduction for children (a move that critics say could cost the Treasury billions of dollars a year).

He has also emphasized his blue-collar roots and refers frequently to his grandfather, who came from Italy to work in the coal mines of Pennsylvania. Those roots, he says, will help him win blue-collar votes in Rust Belt states like Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, all of which are likely to be major swing state battlegrounds in the fall.

The heart of Mr. Santorum’s economic plan is to revive the nation’s manufacturing base. He would do that by eliminating taxes on American-based manufacturers and on profits gained from overseas if they are reinvested on plants and equipment in the United States. He would also do away with a raft of regulations.

“We’re not conceding anything to Romney on the economic front,” said John Brabender, a senior Santorum adviser.

Michigan was expected to be a relatively straightforward victory for Mr. Romney, who was born and raised in the state. His father, George, became chief executive of American Motors and later governor of the state. Mr. Romney, in his unsuccessful first run for president in 2008, won the Michigan primary.

But in that race, Mr. Romney was perceived as the conservative, compared with Senator John McCain of Arizona, and this time, he is perceived as the moderate, compared with Mr. Santorum. Surveys of voters leaving polling places in 2008 showed that 39 percent of those voting in the Republican primary described themselves as evangelical or born-again Christians.

“Michigan has this reputation of being moderate, with Republicans like George Romney,” Mr. Ballenger said. “But it is one of the strongest right-to-life states in the country.”

Mr. Santorum continues to face questions about whether he will have the money to answer the expected attacks from his opponents; Mr. Romney has already accused him of being a big spender and a Washington insider.

The Santorum campaign plans to start advertising on Michigan television this week. The “super PAC” that backs him, the Red, White and Blue Fund, is polling in the state now to determine whether and how much to invest there, said Stuart Roy, a spokesman for the fund.

“Michigan is very enticing,” Mr. Roy said, not only because it allocates its delegates proportionally, so even coming in second ensures delegates, but because it is Mr. Romney’s home state.

Still, he said, the fund did not want to spend all of its resources in Michigan and not have enough for Super Tuesday, March 6, when 10 states vote. Moreover, he said, it had to consider that going negative against Mr. Romney would undoubtedly start to erode Mr. Santorum’s own high favorability ratings.

Mr. Brabender from the Santorum campaign said that Mr. Santorum’s recent success had raised the stakes and that Michigan would give him a platform unlike anything he had experienced so far.

“Having the megaphone means everything we say is more amplified,” Mr. Brabender said, “but also, everything is more amplified.”


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The Caucus: Pro-Romney Group Buys Almost $500,000 in TV Ads in Michigan

7:43 p.m. | Updated Mitt Romney is getting some heavy air support in Michigan — the state where he was born and raised — as the “super PAC” supporting him invests almost $500,000 on television ads there.

According to someone who tracks Republican media spending, Restore Our Future has committed just over $470,000 for commercials starting Tuesday and set to run through Feb. 20. That marks the group’s largest purchase yet in Michigan, where it will have spent more than $700,000 on ads by next week.

Restore Our Future made a number of other smaller moves on Monday, securing modest amounts air time throughout the South and increasing its presence on the air in Ohio. It bought time in Georgia, Oklahoma and Tennessee, which vote in the Super Tuesday contests on March 6. It purchased commercial spots in Alabama and Mississippi as well, which will hold their primaries on March 13.

The group said Monday that it would continue for now to run an ad called “Risk” that targets Newt Gingrich using images and attacks that have by now become familiar advertising fodder. It cites the proliferation of earmarks during his tenure as House speaker and shows a shot of him sitting with Nancy Pelosi on a couch in front of the Capitol, a shot taken from a public service announcement on global warming.

“Newt has tons of baggage,” a narrator says. “Beating Obama is important, too important to risk on Newt Gingrich.”

The ad will run throughout Michigan in the major media markets of Detroit, Grand Rapids, Lansing and Flint, as well as in the less populous northern regions. It will also run on Fox News on the western side of the state.

Suggesting that Restore Our Future had other ads in the works, a top strategist for the group, Carl Forti, said Monday that the “Risk” ad “will stay up initially.”

Restore Our Future made a number of other smaller moves on Monday, securing modest amounts air time throughout the South and increasing its presence on the air in Ohio. It bought time in Georgia, Oklahoma and Tennessee, which vote in the Super Tuesday contests on March 6. It purchased commercial spots in Alabama and Mississippi as well, which will hold their primaries on March 13.


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Romney-Santorum Ad Wars Intensify in Michigan

The ad is Mr. Santorum’s first serious attempt to deflect what aides anticipate will be a barrage of negative attacks during the next two weeks as Mr. Santorum and Mr. Romney campaign in Michigan ahead of the state’s Feb. 28 primary.

Those attacks began late on Tuesday when a “Super PAC” backing Mr. Romney released an ad alleging big government spending by Mr. Santorum while he served as a U.S. senator from Pennsylvania. Restore Our Future, the group behind the ad, has said it will spend at least $460,000 in Michigan during the next two weeks.

Mr. Santorum’s campaign has struggled to raise the millions of dollars he needs to compete with Mr. Romney and his allies. And it is unclear how much money he is spending to counter the super PAC attacks. But Mr. Santorum is clearly hoping to generate buzz — and free publicity — with the humorous new ad, titled “Rombo.”

In it, a Romney look-alike is shown trying to shoot mud at cardboard cutouts of Rick Santorum as an announcer says that “Mitt Romney’s negative attack machine is back, on full throttle.”

The ad complains that “Romney and his super PAC have spent a staggering $20 million brutally attacking fellow Republicans” and hammers Mr. Romney for “trying to hide from his big government Romneycare and his support for job killing cap-and-trade.” It ends with the Romney character being splattered with mud himself and the announcer saying: “in the end, Mitt Romney’s ugly attacks are going to backfire.”

“That’s the nature of politics which is that you always  accuse the other guy of what you’ve done yourself,” Mr. Romney said. “My  campaign hasn’t run any negative ads against Rick Santorum. His campaign ran  attack ads against me in South Carolina and his PAC did so in  Missouri. So, I’ not saying we won’t finally go after the guy,  but frankly, he’s been going to go after me, as that ad suggests.”

The political air wars over Michigan have begun in earnest as four national polls this week — including one by The New York Times — shows Mr. Santorum surging from the bottom of the pack of Republican candidates into a virtual tie with Mr. Romney. 

Mr. Romney on Tuesday moved to shore up support in his boyhood home of Michigan with a positive commercial about his ties to the state and an opinion article defending his 2008 position to let the auto industry go bankrupt.

Mr. Romney’s new advertisement, called “Growing Up,” shows him driving a car and reminiscing about life in Detroit. He criticizes President Obama and concludes by saying: “I want to make Michigan stronger and better. Michigan’s been my home, and this is personal.”

The commercial is to begin running on Wednesday. And according to a rival campaign that is tracking media spending, Mr. Romney has spent $1.2 million on commercial time in Michigan. He will be going on the air in all the largest markets — from Detroit in the southeast to Traverse City in the northwest.

Mr. Romney also sought to highlight his connections to Michigan in the opinion article published in The Detroit News on Tuesday, while also deflecting potential criticism about his opposition to federal loans to rescue the auto industry.

Noting that he was born in Detroit and that his father was president of the American Motors car company in the 1950s, Mr. Romney wrote that he was 7 years old when he got his “love of cars and chrome and fins and roaring motors” from his father.

But the main message of the piece was to defend an Op-Ed article Mr. Romney wrote just two weeks after the nation chose Barack Obama as president in 2008. Published in The New York Times, it had the simple headline “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt.”

Mr. Romney’s explanation is a complicated one, especially given the industry’s remarkable turnaround in the last three years.

Mr. Romney says he always favored what he calls a “managed bankruptcy” for the auto companies that would have allowed the businesses to restructure and emerge stronger than before. He criticized Mr. Obama for choosing what he called a “bailout” of the industry that benefited big labor unions.

But Mr. Romney next acknowledges that General Motors and Chrysler did in fact go through a “managed bankruptcy” at the urging of Mr. Obama’s administration — and he takes credit for being the one to have the idea first.

“Managed bankruptcy may sound like a death knell. But in fact, it is a way for a troubled company to restructure itself rapidly, entering and leaving the courtroom sometimes in weeks or months instead of years, and then returning to profitable operation,” Mr. Romney wrote in the piece. “The course I recommended was eventually followed.”

Officials in Mr. Obama’s administration, and many economists in both parties, scoff at Mr. Romney’s suggestion that a managed bankruptcy was possible without the billions of dollars in government aid to the car companies. They say Wall Street and private equity firms in early 2009 were in no position to lend the kind of money that the companies needed to manage the bankruptcy process in an orderly fashion.

Bill Vlasic contributed reporting from Detroit, and Jeremy W. Peters from New York.


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The Caucus: Santorum Ads Go Up in Michigan

The Santorum campaign on Tuesday began running two television commercials statewide in Michigan, the next state up in the primary season.

That the campaign is advertising in Michigan, Mitt Romney’s home state, underscores the importance of the Feb. 28 primary.

The video footage in both commercials is the same and has been recycled from an earlier commercial the campaign used in South Carolina.

One shows several positive quotations about Mr. Santorum from political celebrities like Glenn Beck and Sarah Palin, and the other presents Mr. Santorum as a “full-spectrum conservative.”

The scroll of printed quotations may give the viewer the impression that the celebrities have endorsed Mr. Santorum, but they have not, even if they have said nice things about him. For example, Ms. Palin is quoted as saying that Mr. Santorum has been “consistent protecting the sanctity of life,” but she has made it clear many times that she favors Newt Gingrich.

“Santorum is the next George Washington,” Mr. Beck, the radio personality, said last year. But when he said it, he also said that he did not endorse candidates. “I don’t trust any of them,” he said. But, he added, if he had to trust one, he perceived Mr. Santorum as the next Washington.

Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas, is linked to the quotation: “I adore Rick Santorum’s conviction.” Mr. Huckabee has made it clear that he will not endorse anyone and has been annoyed when other candidates have used his name and image to suggest his support.

The “full-spectrum conservative” commercial, which is only slightly altered from one that ran in South Carolina, seeks to appeal explicitly to so-called values voters, Tea Party enthusiasts, blue-collar workers and those who follow foreign policy, all in 30 seconds.

The fast-paced spot makes extensive use of Mr. Santorum’s family, showcasing most if not all of his seven children, including his disabled daughter Bella, who is 3.

Bella has drawn world-wide attention as Mr. Santorum, a former senator from Pennsylvania, has told the story of how she received a diagnosis of a fatal illness at birth and how she has outlived the prognosticators. She appears three times in the commercial, glimpsed twice as she is held by Mr. Santorum and by his wife, Karen, and then at the end, as the video editors finally halt their quick cuts and let the viewer linger on Mr. Santorum hugging Bella as she sits on his knee and smiles.

The ad is accompanied by inspirational orchestral strings that provide a positive atmosphere for Mr. Santorum’s commercial debut in Michigan.

But the ad is generic, not specific to South Carolina, Michigan or anywhere else. This makes it easy to slot in anywhere as the primaries continue and is cheaper than making new commercials for each state.

The ad does not mention any of Mr. Santorum’s Republican rivals, though the emphasis on his credentials as a conservative could be seen as a contrast with Mr. Romney, who, despite his protests, is viewed by critics as a moderate.

This commercial opens with a black-and-white still photograph of a pensive President Obama, setting up the idea of Mr. Santorum as the Republican nominee.

“Who has the best chance to beat Obama?” the male narrator asks. “Rick Santorum, a full-spectrum conservative.”

And it concludes: “Rick Santorum, a trusted conservative who gives us the best chance to take back America.”


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Thứ Ba, 7 tháng 2, 2012

Big Lead for Romney in Nevada, Arizona, Michigan, and Nationally

Mitt Romney is way ahead of Newt Gingrich in several of the states that vote this month, and Gingrich has lost his lead nationally, too, since he was beaten in the Florida primary. The numbers indicate the drama of the primary election is over, even if only a tiny fraction of delegates have been awarded. Here's our guide to today's polls and which ones matter.

RELATED: Newt Crushes Romney in South Carolina

Findings: Romney has the support of 45 percent of Nevadans likely to vote in the Republican caucus Saturday. Gingrich trails him with 25 percent, followed by Rick Santorum with 11 percent, and Ron Paul with 9 percent.
Pollster: Las Vegas Review Journal/ 8NewsNow/ Cannon Survey Center
Methodology: Phone interviews of 426 Republicans who plan to vote Saturday between January 27 and January 31 -- before Romney won the Florida primary.
Why it matters: It doesn't look like this is going to be the vote where Gingrich comes roaring back. And The New York Times' Nate Silver points out it's not looking good in Arizona or Michigan either.
Caveat: In fact, it's possible Romney will destroy his competition by even wider margins. Slate's Dave Weigel points out that in 2008, polls showed Romney with 26 percent, John McCain with 21 percent, and Paul at the back of the pack with 7 percent. The actual vote was Romney with 51 percent, followed by Paul with 14 percent.

RELATED: GOP Debate to Lead the Free World

Findings: Romney leads Gingrich in Arizona 48 percent to Gingrich's 24 percent. Santorum has 13 percent. The state votes February 28.
Pollster: Rasmussen
Methodology: Robocalls to 750 likely Republican primary voters on February 1.
Why it matters: There's a large enough Latino population in Arizona (16 percent of registered voters) that the Obama campaign thinks it's within the realm of possibility for him to win it. And Romney has frustrated some Republicans with his move rightward on immigration -- he says he'd veto the Dream Act, a promise that 54 percent of Latino voters say would make them less likely to vote for a candidate. And yet Romney is way ahead.
Caveat: Rasmussen leans right.

RELATED: GOP Debate: Mitt Gets Under Newt's Skin

Findings: Gingrich has lost his national lead: Romney's ahead 31 percent to 25 percent.
Pollster: Gallup
Methodology: Tracking poll of 1,159 Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters from January 28 to February 1.
Why it matters: Gingrich was able to claim that while Romney had destroyed his lead in Florida with negative ads, the folks whose TVs hadn't been blown up still favored him. That is no longer the case. Maybe that's because another Gallup poll this week showed that registered voters thought Romney was more presidential than Gingrich by 59 percent to 39 percent.
Caveat: A big event could change things, theoretically. Like Romney being silly enough to make an appearance with Donald Trump.

RELATED: GOP Debate Preview: Hey, We're Not So Bad

Findings: Low-income and high-income Republican voters disagree over how much the government should do to help poor people. Among Republican and Republican-leaning voters making less than $30,000 a year, 57 percent think the government doesn't do enough for the poor. Only 18 percent say it does too much. But those Republican and Republican-leaning voters who make $75,000 or more a year split the other way: of those making $75,000 or more, 44 percent think the government does too much, while only 21 percent think it doesn't do enough. More than half of the low-income set think the American economic system unfairly favors the wealthy; only 28 percent of the high-income folks share that view.
Pollster: Pew Research Center
Methodology: Survey of registered voters from September 22 to October 4.
Why it matters: Pew posted these findings Thursday amid the controversy over Romney's comment that he's not concerned about poor people. Poor people are concerned about poor people, even if they vote Republican. Romney said his campaign is focusing on helping the middle class, not the poor or rich.
Caveat: The poll is older, and voters' opinions could change as the general election heats up and we talk about this stuff all day.


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