Elections 2012
Thứ Sáu, 24 tháng 2, 2012
U.S.: The Caucus | The Other Romney Parent
Salvadoran May Be Deported From U.S. for ’80 Murders of Americans
In Nod to Rising Gas Prices, Obama Discusses Energy Policy
5 Essential Mobile Apps for Keeping Up With U.S. Politics
In this corner: the elephant. And in this corner: the donkey. Let's get ready to rumble! Now you can join in the fight with Political Fury, a fun and informative way to access the latest political news.
Once you've chosen sides, you go head-to-head with users from the other team in an epic political trivia contest. The more answers you get right, the more points your political party scores, all while learning fascinating facts about U.S. political history, political parties and current candidates.
[More from Mashable: 5 Hilarious Parodies of the ‘Facebook Parenting’ Viral Video]
After you've tested your mettle, head over to the forums to talk politics with people on both sides of the aisle. You'll also have the opportunity to read informed editorials, and to voice your opinion by taking polls about the positions and the personalities involved in election 2012.
Cost: $1.99, iOS only
[More from Mashable: Microsoft Takes on iPhone, Android with ‘Windows Phone Challenge’ [VIDEO]]
Click here to view this gallery.
As the U.S. presidential election 2012 ramps up, one of the best things you can do is to become informed about the candidates and the issues.
That’s not always as easy as it sounds, so use these five politically-minded apps for your smartphone or tablet to stay on top of the latest U.S. election and government news. They may even help inform your ballot decision come November.
Image courtesy of iStockphoto, chriskocek
This story originally published on Mashable here.
The Caucus: Obama Goes After Republicans in New Michigan Ad
DETROIT — President Obama is highlighting his support for the federal assistance plan that helped rescue Detroit automakers in a new television commercial that accuses Republican presidential candidates of abandoning the industry in its darkest hour.
The 30-second commercial, called “Made in America,” also mentions Mitt Romney’s now well-known opinion article that carried the headline “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt.”
Over images of factory employees hard at work and smiling families, an announcer says, “when a million jobs were on the line, every Republican candidate turned their back, even said, ‘Let Detroit go Bankrupt.’”
Then the commercial pivots to the president. “Not him,” says the announcer as a sound bite of the president plays. “Don’t bet against the American auto industry,” Mr. Obama is shown saying.
The ad is certain to draw even more of a focus on the sensitive and complex politics of the auto industry bailout, which all the Republican candidates have said they opposed. Mr. Obama and Democrats have sought to draw attention to that opposition now that Detroit car makers are adding jobs and the economy in Michigan is showing signs of progress.
In a Detroit Free Press poll released today, there were signs that Mr. Romney’s opposition to the bailout were complicating his prospects here in his home state. Asked what they disliked most about Mr. Romney, 12 percent of likely Republican primary voters cited his opposition to the rescue plan.
The Long Run: Political Lessons, From a Mother’s Losing Run
The Inspiration
Articles in this series are exploring the lives and careers of the candidates for president in 2012.A one-stop destination for the latest political news — from The Times and other top sources. Plus opinion, polls, campaign data and video. George and Lenore Romney, in an undated photograph with their children, from left, Mitt, G. Scott, Jane and Margo Lynn. A onetime Hollywood starlet who quit acting to get married, Lenore Romney had few political credentials. But she had been a popular first lady, and her husband was tied up in Washington as President Richard M. Nixon’s new housing secretary. Top Michigan Republicans were wooing her to run for a United States Senate seat. “The children laughed about it,” Elly Peterson, a Romney confidante and party strategist, later wrote in a private memoir. “Then Mitt, first, and gradually the others, began to change their minds. They finally decided she should go with it.” Today Mitt Romney is a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, facing a tough primary battle here in the state where he grew up. His Michigan campaign brochures and commercials are studded with black-and-white images of him with his father, a businessman-turned-politician he once called “the real deal.” But a look at the lesser-known Romney, Lenore, suggests that in style, temperament and outlook, Mitt Romney is very much his mother’s son. A faithful Mormon and stay-at-home mother who eventually emerged as an advocate of women’s involvement in business and politics, Lenore Romney, who died at 89 in 1998, had a “steely will,” in the words of Phillip Maxwell, a childhood friend of Mitt’s. Her larger-than-life husband was blunt and candid, a fiery campaigner who burst into a room. Lenore was controlled and self-contained, traits that friends say they see in Mitt, her youngest child. “George was very unlike Mitt — he was kind of a bull in the china shop, and he would speak his mind regardless,” said Mr. Maxwell, a classmate of Mitt Romney’s at the Cranbrook School, an elite private academy here. “Lenore was much more measured. Everyone is focusing on the father, but he is really much more like his mother in that he is much more private than his father was.” Just two years after Mr. Romney learned the brutality of politics through his father’s failed 1968 presidential bid, he witnessed his mother’s bruising 1970 defeat. Then 23, and already married, he had taken a summer break from his studies at Brigham Young University to campaign for her, appearing on college campuses and county fairs — an experience that he later said “taught me how to get out and see people and listen to what people are saying.” She was ill-equipped for the rigors of politics — “Lenore was no George as a political candidate,” says Bill Ballenger, the editor of a political newsletter here — and lost badly to a popular Democratic incumbent, Phil Hart, much as Mitt Romney would later lose his 1994 Senate race in Massachusetts to another entrenched Democrat, Edward M. Kennedy. And though Lenore Romney expected a glide path to the Republican nomination on the strength of her family name, she faced a difficult primary challenge from her party’s right wing, just as her son faces in his race today. “There’s been a lot of conversation about whether Mitt Romney can excite the Republican base, the Tea Party-type people,” said Sara Fitzgerald, whose biography of Elly Peterson recounts Lenore Romney’s uphill struggle as a candidate. “One of the things his mother went through was being sniped at by the conservative right wing of the Michigan Republican Party. People commented that she got more opposition from the conservatives than she got from Phil Hart.” Mitt Romney declined to be interviewed for this article, as did other Romney relatives. On the campaign trail, if he mentions his mother, he casts her in a supporting role to his father. But while Lenore Romney was a traditionalist — she had little use for the “strident voices” of the women’s liberation movement, and believed “a wife is a vital part of a husband’s development” — she also had a strong message about the influential role women could play in business and government.Thứ Năm, 23 tháng 2, 2012
FiveThirtyEight: Mormon Voters Raise Romney's Advantage in Arizona
Arizona might have less symbolic importance than Michigan, but it is probably of more practical significance. That is because it’s one of the few Republican states to award its delegates on a truly winner-take-all basis, without any qualifications or complication. Get one more vote than your rivals in Arizona, and you take all 29 of its delegates.
The most tangible advantage in Arizona belongs to Mitt Romney, and it is because the state has a reasonably high Mormon population. In the 2008 primary there, Mormon voters constituted 11 percent of the electorate — and Mr. Romney won 88 percent of their votes, versus 8 percent for John McCain.
If Mr. Romney posts similar numbers among Mormon voters this year in Tuesday’s primary — and there’s no reason to think that he won’t — that works out a nine-point built-in advantage in the state.
Without that Mormon edge, in fact, the state would essentially be a toss-up. Mr. Romney is now projected to win the state by 11 points over all, according to a FiveThirtyEight forecast model, which works out to an 89 percent chance of winning given the uncertainty inherent in the forecast.
The 11-point advantage that the FiveThirtyEight model gives Mr. Romney is larger than his lead in all but one recent poll of the state. But the model is designed to be aggressive about identifying a trend, and there is perhaps the slightest hint of one toward Mr. Romney in Arizona. The two polls that have been in the field most recently — from NBC/Marist and We Ask America — gave him his largest advantage there.
With that said, there has been quite a bit of variance between different polls of the state, with Mr. Romney’s lead varying by margins of 3 to 16 points. I don’t know that there is anything special about Arizona that is causing this; we are also seeing a fairly wide spread in the polls in Michigan, as well as in national surveys. As there now seem to be differences in the level of voter enthusiasm for the candidates — more for Rick Santorum, less for Mr. Romney — the assumptions that pollsters make about turnout will tend to be more important.
Mr. Santorum’s deficit in Arizona is just large enough, however, that it would qualify as something of a surprise if he won the state. It might require either that he performs strongly at Wednesday’s debate in Mesa, Ariz., or that he simply beats the pollsters’ expectations on primary night itself, something he has done in several states so far.
Because there is no delegate value in merely keeping things close in Arizona, however, it is also worth watching to see whether Mr. Santorum essentially abandons the state and downplays expectations there, instead concentrating his efforts on Michigan, which also votes on Tuesday.
If Mr. Santorum wins Michigan narrowly but loses Arizona by a clear margin, he will probably fall further behind Mr. Romney in the delegate count given Michigan’s complex delegate-selection rules. Such an outcome, however, would very probably allow him to put a strong spin on the outcome — and a credible enough one, since if Mr. Romney loses Michigan, his native state, it is hard to know where he might win elsewhere in the Midwest.
But if Mr. Santorum loses both Arizona and Michigan, however narrowly, he would fall behind, according to both math and momentum.